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SA World Cup: The Coming International Sporting Disaster?
Written by Joshua Keating   
Friday, 29 August 2008

Would investments in education and health paid better dividends for SA?China?s debut as an Olympic host was hardly the unqualified public relations nightmare that many people expected, especially after the Tibet riots and the subsequent torch-tour fiasco. If China?s goal was simply to host a fantastic Olympics, its $40 billion was well spent. In terms of sheer spectacle, impressive facilities, and the host country?s athletic performance, the games were without peer in Olympic history. But if the goal was to change international minds about China, its success was mixed at best.

With the deceptions during the opening ceremonies, the arrest of eight American demonstrators, and China?s failure to keep its promises about political openness, the Olympics have only reinforced the conventional view of the Chinese state as capable of outstanding feats of organization and social engineering, but also secretive, repressive, and hostile to basic human rights.

In the coming years, a number of emerging economies will follow China in using international sporting events to make a statement about their new global status. They will likely find that these events often do more to highlight their country?s lingering weakness than showcase its progress. The 2010 World Cup in South Africa is the perfect example: Unless the country can pull off a miracle, South Africa?s own coming-out party has the makings of being an international sporting disaster, a far riskier proposition for the host country?s image than the Beijing Games ever posed for China. Indeed, South Africa?s bid is already in danger of showing why gargantuan global sporting events are the worst way for emerging economies to show off to the world.

With strong backing from national patriarchs Nelson Mandela and Desmond Tutu, soccer?s governing body, FIFA, announced three years ago that South Africa would be the site of the 2010 World Cup. It will be the first African country ever to host the Cup, or any global sporting event near its size. What better opportunity could there be for Africa?s leading economy to introduce the world to the enormous economic and social progress the country has made since the fall of apartheid? Yet even South Africa and FIFA are now second-guessing that decision.

As they should. Construction of the five stadiums that the country is spending more than a billion dollars to build is far behind schedule, hampered by shipping delays and a lack of skilled engineers. South Africa has already admitted that the stadium in Port Elizabeth will not be ready for next June?s Confederations Cup?an Africa-only soccer competition that is considered a dress rehearsal for the World Cup?and several other sites will be cutting it close. This month?s nationwide mine strikes are liable to worsen the delays.

South Africa is also in the midst of an electricity crisis caused by the state power company?s failure to keep pace with the country?s booming economy, which is currently growing at a roughly 5 percent clip. Rolling blackouts are now common in major cities and likely will be for the next two years. To guarantee power during the World Cup, the government might be forced to freeze major industrial projects.

Another worry is HIV/AIDS. Prostitution is sadly an integral part of any major international sporting event?despite a clampdown, brothels reportedly did a brisk business in Beijing?and that?s a huge problem in a country with an 18 percent HIV infection rate. The city of Durban?s recent proposal to legalize prostitution did little to assuage these fears.

But the biggest worry by far is violent crime. South Africa has one of the world?s highest murder rates, with more than 50 people killed each day. The world was shocked this summer by images of xenophobic riots in which 62 immigrants were hacked, beaten, or burned to death. A huge influx of wealthy fans would likely motivate criminals, even under the best of conditions.

South Africa?s pre-Cup jitters seemed particularly justified in early July when FIFA President Sepp Blatter admitted that there was a ?Plan B? in the works in case South Africa could not be ready in time. Most South Africans reacted with outrage, but no doubt a few agreed with popular newspaper columnist Jon Qwelane that losing the World Cup might not be the worst possible outcome for the country. ?South Africa wanted to impress the world by staging a World Cup we did not need; we needed jobs, houses, first-class health facilities, good education, non-cut-throat food and petrol prices, and not a World Cup we could hardly afford,? Qwelane wrote. ?Roll out Plan B, Mr. Blatter!?

In fairness, South Africa still has a chance of getting the facilities constructed in time and has taken some constructive steps, such as introducing a program to hire 55,000 new police officers nationwide before 2010. Unfortunately for the country, the harsh media spotlight that accompanies a competition of this size means that the bar is set almost impossibly high. June 2010 could be the most peaceful month in South African history, but even one murder or mugging of a tourist will prompt reporters to ask whether granting such a dangerous place the right to host the event was a mistake.

And South Africa is not the only emerging economy that has bought into the false promise of global sporting events. Russia hopes the 2014 Winter Olympics will showcase its recent economic turnaround. But the Olympic site, Sochi, is just a 15-minute drive from a war zone in the breakaway Georgian province of Abkhazia. Two unexplained bombings recently rocked the Black Sea resort town.

Back in 2007, the chairman of Russia?s bid committee told reporters there were ?no questions on security now,? and a top Kremlin official predicted that the Abkhazian conflict would soon be resolved. Russia is going to have to spend the next six years not only convincing the world that Sochi will be ready, but convincing countries that their athletes will be safe in the violence-plagued North Caucasus. That is, if Western countries seeking to punish Russia for the recent fighting in Georgia don?t take the Olympics away first.

In 2012 ?new Europe? nations Poland and Ukraine will co-host the Euro Cup and are already trying to explain away delays and corruption scandals. Brazil?s soccer confederation has drunk the Kool-Aid as well, promising that the 2014 World Cup will ?enable Brazil to have a modern infrastructure.?

There?s little evidence, though, to suggest that investing in a major sporting event does much to help transform a country?s economy. Commentators now even commonly refer to an ?Olympic hangover? when overheated economies decline after hosting the games. In fact, since 1956, Olympic hosts have seen their GDP growth fall by an average of nearly 7 percent in the two years following the big event.

The money that South Africa is spending on the five stadiums alone could have increased its 2008 healthcare funding by 3 percent, expanded education funding by 8 percent, or paid the salaries of 80,000 Johannesburg police officers?investments that would undoubtedly have paid dividends long after the stadiums have fallen into disuse.

In truth, events like the Olympics and the World Cup are the farthest thing from appropriate showcases for economic progress?they?re more likely to highlight a developing country?s faults. Yanking a country like South Africa out of any historical context invariably emphasizes the areas where it falls short, rather than the progress it has made. Once the dazzle of a spectacular opening ceremony or high-tech stadium fades, the world will remember a developing country struggling with less glamorous challenges such as pollution, crime, and crumbling infrastructure. In the long run, emerging countries that bet their reputations on a sporting event may wish they had spent a little more time boosting their number of exports or college graduates rather than playing games.

 
South African Businesses want a political solution to Zuma corruption affair: MG
Written by Mandy Rossouw & AND Rapule Tabane   
Friday, 29 August 2008

(Johannesburg) - The business community stands ready to support a political solution to the crisis around ANC president Jacob Zuma's corruption case, a move also endorsed this week by the chairperson of Parliament's justice committee, Yunus Carrim.

"This matter [of Zuma] must be brought to closure so that the country can proceed with certainty of political leadership. If it requires a political solution, let a political solution be found," said chief executive of Business Unity South Africa (Busa) Jerry Vilakazi.

Busa represents 80% of businesses in South Africa.

The business community feels the state had more than five years to put together charges against Zuma.

Said Vilakazi: "This failure has opened up the environment in which there are all kinds of utterances about whether he will be able to receive a fair trial. Democracy is threatened by the failure of the state to deal speedily with Zuma's case."

He declined to make suggestions about what form a political solution might take, but said that it had to be arranged in an open and transparent way.

He said business leaders are constantly questioned by international investors about what will happen over Zuma and they had no answers.

"We feel as long as this matter is unresolved we create tension, both locally and internationally," Vilakazi said.

Carrim agreed that a political solution should be encouraged.

"If there is a political solution that is legally and constitutionally tenable, surely we should all, whatever political party we come from, encourage it in the national interest? After all, aren't there precedents for this in the established democracies in cases that are broadly similar?" he told the Mail & Guardian.

Carrim was referring to the legislation in Italy, France and the United States where laws prohibit the charging of sitting presidents.

In business circles leaders increasingly see ANC warnings of "blood on the streets" as a threat to the country's stability and their interests.

Zuma's battles will feature on the agenda of the coming annual general meeting of the Black Management Forum (BMF), said chairperson Jimmy Manyi.

"For us, it is about what serves the best interests of South Africa as a whole. We see this as an important matter for business and therefore it needs to be discussed."

This week ANC Youth League (ANCYL) president Julius Malema called for President Thabo Mbeki to intervene in the Zuma case as he had in the case against police commissioner Jackie Selebi.

The ANCYL has repeatedly called for a political solution and has now outlined for the first time what it sees as the best way out of the legal and political morass.

Malema told the M&G that Mbeki should intervene in the prosecution of Zuma by the National Prosecuting Authority (NPA). Mbeki allegedly said that there was no case against the police commissioner and cautioned the NPA to think about the political implications of charging him.

Suspended NPA head Vusi Pikoli is one of those who claimed that Mbeki intervened in the investigation into Selebi and that he (Pikoli) was suspended for his decision to proceed to charge the police commissioner.

"The state president should say the case has not been handled properly and it should be reviewed. He must point out that the case has been dragging on for eight years and it is damaging the country's standing internationally.

"He did not act when the Public Protector recommended action against the NPA because of the media leaks and when they produced the flawed document called Browse Mole Report, which tried to discredit Zuma. He also did nothing when the Pietermaritzburg High Court threw out the NPA's case and told them they were limping from one disaster to another.

"Mbeki must question the handling of the case and ask for a review, which will hopefully lead to the dropping of the charges. The reason the NPA is proceeding with the case is because there is no political will from their masters to be fair to Zuma," Malema said.

Source: Mail & Guardian Online
Web Address: http://www.mg.co.za/article/2008-08-22-business-wants-a-political-solution 

 
Ground-Breaking Gender Protocol Signed
Written by Zahira Kharsany   
Tuesday, 19 August 2008

(Johannesburg) - Gender activists breathed a sigh of relief when a long-delayed gender protocol was signed at the Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit this weekend.

Women bear the brunt of social injustice and problems on the African continent, ranging from access to clean water, poor health care, access to economic opportunities or adequate protection before the law.

Gender activists breathed a sigh of relief when a long-delayed gender protocol was signed at the Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit this weekend. Women bear the brunt of social injustice and problems on the African continent, ranging from access to clean water, poor health care, access to economic opportunities or adequate protection before the law.

The protocol calls for 50 percent representation by women at all levels of government by 2015 and further calls for member states to put in place legislative measures which guarantee that political and policy structures are gender sensitive. It draws up a plan of action setting specific targets and time frames for achieving gender equality in all SADC countries as well as effective monitoring and evaluation.

The document covers 25 articles on different aspects ranging from access to justice and education as well as ensuring women's rights is included in member states' constitutions.

One of the highest priorities within the document is putting legislative measures in place to promote and ensure practical realisation of equality of women. The protocol states: "Member states shall adopt and implement legislative and other measures to eliminate all practices which negatively affect the fundamental rights of women, men, girls and boys, such as their right to life, health, dignity, education or physical integrity".

SADC counties who sign the protocol agree to support equal access to education and to free quality primary and secondary education to aim for the eradication of illiteracy by 2020. "They (member states) should eliminate gender discrimination and stereotypes in the curriculum, career choices and professions while putting in place gender sensitivity training programmes for educators and stakeholders," the document states.

The gender protocol also calls for governments in the region to prohibit all forms of gender-based violence, including marital rape. The document has a provision which will ensure perpetrators of all forms of gender-based violence are tried by a competent court of justice.

HIV/AIDS is also addressed. The SADC region has the highest number of fatalities across the globe. The protocol calls for necessary steps to be taken to prevent the transmission of HIV and AIDS among women, men, girls and boys, including persons with disabilities. It also stresses the importance of female-controlled prevention methods.

"These prevention efforts will be based on an understanding of the underlying gender power relations that fuel the pandemic, the challenges encountered by women in insisting on safe sex and the need for behaviour change."

Long overdue

Seven years in the making, the document is seen as a ground-breaking commitment that will put gender rights at the forefront of the SADC plan of action and provide a clear roadmap for the region's leaders to move towards gender equality. Regional heads of state had postponed signing the document on two previous occasions and activists are hoping that this would be implemented on schedule.

Though it was signed by 12 heads of state, the protocol met opposition from Botswana and Mauritius at this year's summit. Speaking to IPS, a member of the Mauritian delegation, who wished to remain anonymous, voiced concern that the protocol meant that their constitution would have to be changed.

"For just one word we would have to change our entire constitution," he said. "Also the amount to change our constitution will cause financial constraints on our country."

He was referring to the affirmative action clause found in the protocol. It is believed that the same objection was raised by the Botswana delegation.

Next challenge: implementation

In a statement, 180 media practitioners, analysts, activists, critics and editors who participated in the Gender and Media Summit just ahead of the SADC meeting described the Protocol "as the most far reaching of any sub-regional instrument for achieving gender equality."

Participants said it was time for southern Africa to move from being "a region of commitments, to one of action".

Colleen Lowe Morna, executive director of GenderLinks, a South Africa-based NGO which works across the southern Africa region for the equal participation of women and men in public and private life, told IPS that she was thrilled by the outcome.

"It has been a very long journey for us. The protocol has been watered down and we are not entirely happy by that. But there are 23 concrete targets set down that each country must work towards. It is one of the most concrete and explicit document on gender equality in the region, and it will be a challenging target to all governments."

The watering down that Morna is referring to is the exclusion of key provisions on marital rape, cohabitation and the rights of vulnerable groups. She also pointed out that contradictions between customary law and constitutional provisions for gender equality are not explicitly addressed.

Morna emphasised that the economic provisions provided in the protocol's affirmative action plan were "superb".

Morna said that the challenge now was putting in place the structures and strategies within each of signing nations over the next seven years.

The Africa Protocol Alliance, which unites 42 organisations from all 14 SADC member states, is developing an action plan to support governments in meeting the targets set for them in the next seven years. The protocol calls for governments to launch public awareness campaigns and report bi-annually on progress towards achieving the commitments outlined in the protocol.

 
Mugabe Held Hostage By Party Hawks And Army?
Written by Kitsepile Nyathi   
Monday, 18 August 2008

(Harare) - Zimbabwean strongman, President Robert Mugabe has always been regarded as something of a political enigma. For most of his 28 years in power, he has virtually run the once prosperous Southern African country as a de-facto one party state.

In the eyes of millions of subdued Zimbabweans he is a dictactor who brooks no challenge even from his former liberation movement or the army.

But after an embarrassing electoral set back during the historical March elections where his ruling Zanu PF lost its parliamentary majority to the opposition for the first time since independence, a new profile of a leader who is a hostage to very powerful forces is emerging.

Presented with a golden opportunity to revive his tattered legacy by reaching a political settlement with his main rival, Mr Morgan Tsvangirai of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change, Mr Mugabe dug in his heels at the last minute.

His image of a man with sole and absolute power was brought into question. South African President Thabo Mbeki spent four days holed in a Harare hotel after Zanu PF and MDC negotiators produced a draft agreement that many believed was a panacea to the impasse that has kept Zimbabwe without a government for five months.

He went back home empty handed after Mr Tsvangirai walked out of the talks protesting that he no longer "understood the language" Mr Mugabe was talking at the negotiating table.

Reports have since emerged that defence forces commander, General Constantine Chiwenga told Mr Mugabe that the army was not prepared to honour any arrangement that leaves Mr Tsvangirai as the dominant figure in government.

Gen Chiwenga is the leader of the Joint Operations Command (JOC), which is made up heads of the army, police, prisons and intelligence that has effectively usurped power from Mr Mugabe since Mr Tsvangirai defeated him in the presidential election held on March 29.

Another threat

Then another threat came from former liberation war fighters who are said to have ordered the 84 year-old president not to accept any power sharing deal with the opposition, warning that he risked dire consequences including the invasion of commercial farms.

The warnings were separately delivered to Mr Mugabe on Monday, while Zimbabweans expected that the three leaders including Professor Arthur Mutambara of the small faction of the MDC were close to signing the anxiously awaited power-sharing deal.

"The outcome of the talks hinges on the army generals and Mugabe is only there as a figure head," said a researcher at the Department of War and Strategic Studies at the University of Zimbabwe who could not be named for professional reasons.

"The military remains deeply suspicious of Tsvangirai and some commanders feel that they have sacrificed a lot for Mugabe to lose out their positions just like that."

He said Zimbabwe's political transition from the Lancaster House talks that brought the country's independence in 1980 to an accord that ended a civil war in 1987 had always been negotiated by soldiers who must be involved if the current talks were to succeed.

Another source of trouble for the talks is from Mr Mugabe's failure to manage his succession in the ruling Zanu PF.

"A ZANU-PF clique is now seeking to subvert the process as they think President Mugabe made too many concessions," the Financial Gazette newspaper said.

"That is why you see that even though the principals are bound by the terms of the MoU (Memorandum of Understanding) not to leak information to the media, confidential information is now finding its way to the state media.

"They hope that Tsvangirai maintains his stance."

That was demonstrated by the uproar that followed reports that Prof Mutambara's faction was prepared to sign an agreement without Mr Tsvangirai that would pave way for Mr Mugabe to form a new government.

Seven of the faction's 10 MPs threatened to resign from the party rather than work with Zanu PF.

And, about Mr Tsvangirai: "If he makes the wrong move he will be finished politically because Zimbabweans will never forgive him for selling out to Zanu PF," says Thomas Ngwenya, a former PF Zapu member. 

 
Aids epidemic slowing, says UN
Written by Sarah Boseley   
Friday, 08 August 2008

The HIV/Aids epidemic appears to be slowing, as evidence emerges of more cautious sexual behaviour and improved treatment in some of the worst-hit countries of the world, according to a new United Nations study.

Signs that work on preventing the spread of HIV is bearing fruit were flagged up this week by UNAids's two-yearly report on the state of the epidemic.

In Rwanda and Zimbabwe, it finds, fewer people appear to be getting infected, apparently as the dangers of careless sex become better understood.

In Zimbabwe, a drop in infection among pregnant women, from 26% in 2002 to 18% in 2006, is being linked to reports of fewer people having casual sexual partners and fewer men paying for sex.

Condom use also appears to be increasing and in seven badly affected countries -- Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Ethiopia, Ghana, Malawi, Uganda and Zambia -- young people appear to be waiting longer before starting to have sex. In Cameroon, the percentage of under-15-year-olds having sex fell from 35% to 14%.

The UN warns against complacency, however. Fewer people are dying -- the numbers are down from 2,2-million to two million HIV-related deaths in 2007 -- because drugs to suppress the virus and prevent full-blown Aids have been rolled out in Africa and Asia and three million people who would have died are now surviving.

But though new infections dropped from three million to 2,7-million last year, the rate of decline is not fast enough. As more and more people are infected, the task of keeping patients alive will become much harder and more expensive. "The global HIV epidemic cannot be reversed, and gains in expanding treatment access cannot be sustained, without greater progress in reducing the rate of new HIV infections," the report says, adding that prevention efforts have lagged.

Peter Piot, executive director of UNAids, said: "Gains in saving lives, by preventing new infections and providing treatment to people living with HIV, must be sustained over the long term. Short-term gains should ... not spur complacency."

There are 33-million people living with HIV, who will die without antiretroviral drugs. There has been an increase in children under 15 living with the virus -- from 1,6-million in 2001 to two million last year -- partly because of treatment. But children are less likely to get the drugs than adults. Without treatment, about half of all infected babies die before they are two.

Between 2001 and 2007 there was a six-fold increase in the amount of funding available for HIV/Aids in low and middle-income countries, but the UNAids report says it is important that rich countries continue their financial commitment.

An argument is raging over support for HIV/Aids programmes, with some claiming that too much money has been spent on this one disease and that funds should now go towards improving the health systems of poor countries.

The UN report claims both tactics are needed; the drugs roll-out is leading to improvements in healthcare systems, though health workers have been taken away from treating other conditions.

The report says there is much still to do. Too many young people do not know how they can avoid becoming infected with HIV, and too many people are stigmatised and do not get help. -- ? Guardian News & Media Ltd 2008

Source: Mail & Guardian Online
Web Address: http://www.mg.co.za/article/2008-08-07-aids-epidemic-slowing-says-un
 

 
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